Political strategist and founding national secretary of the Alliance for Democracy (AD), Prof. Udenta Udenta, says President Bola Tinubu’s second-term ambition will face a tough reality check.
Speaking on Arise News Channel’s The Morning Show, Udenta said Nigerians will judge Tinubu’s record, not promises.
“The critical problem is that Tinubu’s second term is going to be a referendum. It will not be an aspirational moment in which, ‘oh, this is what I am going to do for the country, I’m a newcomer in the game, I’m fresh,’” he said.
“Four years is enough time for the country to assess him, to say, ‘you are coming back in 2027, this is the scorecard.’”
Economic Pain and Political Calculations
Udenta pointed to the hardship caused by Tinubu’s policies, especially the fuel subsidy removal and naira floating.
“Two years plus, after the economic shocks of naira floating and subsidy removal, the land is still ravaged by poverty, hunger and insecurity.”
He warned that if former President Goodluck Jonathan emerges as the PDP candidate, Tinubu’s re-election chances could collapse.
“If Jonathan is to be a candidate of the opposition party… it is going to be a tall order for the president and his team to win.”
Udenta believes this fear is why Tinubu’s camp wants Jonathan legally barred from contesting.
“It is better to shut down the conversation quickly… and then to create a sense of chaos and order within the ranks of his party (PDP).”
Party Structures and Grassroots Power
Udenta criticised the APC’s structure, calling it elitist and disconnected from the people.
“It is an elitist party, just a top 1–10% parading themselves as leaders across the country.”
He said the PDP, despite its internal issues, has deeper roots.
“PDP… has enormous structures maybe even more than the APC because it is deeply birthed in people since 1998.”
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