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Interview: Can the Coalition Unseat Tinubu in 2027? Datti Baba-Ahmed Answers

In this compelling interview, Datti Baba-Ahmed shares deep insights into the realities of coalition politics in Nigeria. He argues that defeating Tinubu in 2027 requires less talk, more structure, genuine unity, and long-term planningโ€”anything short of that may lead to failure. Mr Baba-Ahmed was the running mate to Peter Obi of the Labour Party in the 2023 presidential election and has remained an ally ever since.


The Interview

Q How would you situate what happened today (Wednesday) in the context of what it means for Nigerians?

Ans Once again, here we go. Forces that are unhappy with the current government are coming togetherโ€”just like they did once beforeโ€”and they made history. Thatโ€™s where we are now. It remains to be seen whether theyโ€™ll do anything different from that historic move of 2013โ€“2014 that led to victory in 2015.

When something becomes a narrative, itโ€™s safer to tag along. Because challenging a dominant narrative is a daunting task. Until people see the truth and feel it for themselves, they wonโ€™t understand anything youโ€™re saying about that narrative.

Right now, the narrative is that everybody must come together to defeat Tinubu. But by what law? By what principle? Coming together is goodโ€”but that particular narrative is not true. In 2023, despite APC being the ruling party, Labour Party defeated both APC and PDP in many places without a coalition.

So that idea that you must unite to defeat Tinubu isnโ€™t factual. But donโ€™t get me wrongโ€”I support coming together. As a Muslim, I can tell you unity is encouraged. I believe itโ€™s the same in Christianity. People should unite for a common, honourable cause, but the cause must indeed be honourable. It must be in Nigeriaโ€™s interest. A coalition is the safer path. But it must be the right coalitionโ€”and it must do right.

Q But Nigerians are questioning this so-called โ€œhonourable causeโ€ that is bringing this coalition together. The President has called it a gang-up. APC says it poses no threat. Now there are dissenting voices within ADC, claiming this is a hostile takeover that lacked full stakeholder buy-in. What exactly is this honourable cause?

Ans Youโ€™re right. Ambitions must be suppressed. The things that truly defeat a sitting governmentโ€”we havenโ€™t seen those yet. What are those things? You must have a consistent, unrelenting opposition to the government. Just lookโ€”how many weeks ago were the Benue killings? Then Kebbi. Then Plateau. This is after many others in the past two years……

Q Some people are out there promoting the coalition, and silently promoting their own political careers. Who is deliberately and strategically challenging the Tinubu administration’s misgovernance?

Ans Youโ€™re dragging me to something I didnโ€™t want to talk about, but let me say it: I still maintain that the Tinubu administration is questionably constitutional. If you read the constitution, this government is not consistent with it. But out of respect for the rule of law, I acknowledge that someone is operating as president of Nigeria. But he didnโ€™t win the election. He didnโ€™t. But constitutionally, according to the rules, he does have the mandate.

Thatโ€™s why I call it a junta. I respect the law. I respect the Supreme Court. But I call it a junta because of how they captured the Nigerian state. They didnโ€™t win itโ€”they captured it. Look, 9 out of 16 Nigerian leaders didnโ€™t buy INEC forms. You donโ€™t have to contest elections to become president in Nigeria.

Q Let’s go back to this โ€œhonourable cause.โ€ People are calling it a strange coalition. People who don’t even align politically are now coming together……

Ans You couldnโ€™t be more correct. It is strange. But I was happy to see Nasir El-Rufai recognising his elder, our leader Atiku Abubakarโ€”giving him due respect and all that. But yes, itโ€™s strange. Itโ€™s unbelievable what people can do for power. They can come back and eat their words. They can retrace their steps. Strange bedfellowsโ€”absolutely. But let me say this: the fact that a coalition succeeded in defeating a sitting government once might be the exact reason it could FAIL this time.

People are underestimating Tinubu. Even Nigeriaโ€™s military rulers didnโ€™t do what heโ€™s doing. From councillor to president, this man has appointed, disappointed, installed, and removed at will. He is powerful. And they think with kid gloves they can remove this man from power!

The Democracy Day you celebrate? Itโ€™s Tinubuโ€™s Democracy Day. The public holidayโ€”moved because he wanted it moved……

Q But that didn’t start under his administrationโ€ฆ

Ans It doesnโ€™t matter. He made it what it is. He influences everything. So, if youโ€™re going to defeat a man this powerful, youโ€™d better be ready. I donโ€™t yet see anyone in this coalition who can scheme and plan over 16 years. With all due respect to Atiku, he has contested consistentlyโ€”this will be the 7th time. But tell me: is there anyone else in the coalition who will say, โ€œLet it be the other person, and I will support themโ€? Iโ€™m yet to see that. Everyone seems only interested in their own candidacy.

But what did Tinubu do? He invested in Buhari, unreliable as Buhari was. He backed himโ€”and after Buhari, he took over. He stayed committed for 16 years and took it in 2023. Tinubu gave Atiku the ACN in 2007. Gave it to Ribadu in 2011. Backed Buhari in 2015. And waited until 2023 to take it himself.

Q Sounds like you’re praising Tinubu?

Ans No! Iโ€™m not praising him. Iโ€™m saying: to defeat this phenomenon called Tinubu, you must do the unthinkable.

Q Just to be clear, are you saying this coalition is doomed to fail?

Ans No. Iโ€™m saying, specifically, what must be put in place for it to succeed.

Q Sounds like you have all the pieces: Atiku Abubakar, Peter Obi, former APC and PDP bigwigsโ€ฆ

Ans Among them, who has ever stepped down and said, โ€œI support the other personโ€? It was early way back in 2007 when Tinubu played politics with Atiku and said, โ€œCome and take it.โ€ You have to plan, and hold that plan. You donโ€™t come in haphazardly and say youโ€™ll defeat someone who has been planning for decades.

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This interview was conducted at Trust TV.

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