US 2024 Election: Trump Projected To Win As Race to 270 Accelerates

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As polls closed across the United States on Tuesday night, a tense and closely fought battle between Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris unfolded.

US media have indicated that Trump has secured victories in 24 states, including significant wins in Texas and Ohio, crucial battlegrounds like Georgia and North Carolina, and other reliably Republican states.

Harris has so far won 15 states, including the US capital, Washington, and two states with substantial electoral votes, California and New York.

Currently, this results in Trump having 243 electoral votes and Harris having 210. Both candidates are racing for the magic electoral college number of 270, but Trump has only 27 votes to get in. There are 532 electoral college votes in all.

US Presidential election results as at 07.15am Nigerian time

Analysts anticipate that the fiercely contested White House race will hinge on a small number of crucial battleground states.

Swing State Dynamics

Both candidates captured states as predicted in the early results, but the focus quickly shifted to crucial battlegrounds. Trump gained an early lead in electoral votes and successfully won North Carolina and Georgia, but some other major swing states remain unconfirmed.

As counting continued, emerging voter trends suggested potential outcomes. While Harris retained strong support among key Democratic bases, Trump showed increased backing from demographic groups he underperformed with in 2020. Notably, exit polls revealed his gains among male voters of color and those under 45. Trump’s retention of suburban white women also challenged Harris’s bid to expand Democratic support in the suburbs.

Voter Trends and Shifts

One of the most significant stories of the evening centered around voters of color. Trump’s efforts to appeal to Black and Latino communities seemed to yield results. Exit polls from North Carolina indicated Trump had secured 12% of the Black vote, up from 5% in 2020 and 20% of Black male voters. In Nevada, his support among Latino voters increased by 11 percentage points. In Arizona, he gained four percentage points compared to the last election.

Despite these shifts, the race can still go either way. Pennsylvania, the most coveted battleground, showed a decrease in Trump’s support among white voters, dropping three percentage points compared to 2020. However, white voters appeared to make up a larger share of the electorate, potentially offsetting the losses.

High Turnout

With historically high turnout in both early and mail-in voting, records were shattered in some states. Women voters have become a pivotal focus of Harris’s campaign, especially around issues like reproductive rights. However, Trump seemed to be holding his ground among white women, even as Harris gained overwhelming support from Black women. In North Carolina, though, Trump faced a notable erosion, dropping eight points among white women voters.

As the wait for definitive results continues, both campaigns brace for the possibility of legal challenges and recounts in critical states, setting the stage for a potentially drawn-out finish. Meanwhile, election officials across the country urge patience, emphasizing the meticulous process of ensuring every ballot is counted.

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