The African Democratic Congress (ADC), recently adopted by a broad opposition coalition, is positioning itself as the main challenger to the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) in 2027.
But critics—and even some within the opposition—are questioning whether this “strange alliance” has what it takes to succeed where others failed.
The coalition now includes some of Nigeria’s most prominent political figures: Peter Obi, Atiku Abubakar, David Mark, Liyel Imoke, and Emeka Ihedioha, among others.
They bring national name recognition, political experience, and regional structures to the ADC.
David Mark, a two-time Senate President, is now the interim national chairman. His task is to steer the coalition through its fragile beginnings.
The coalition was born out of frustration with the internal crises rocking the PDP and the urgency to create a unified front to defeat the APC and President Tinubu in 2027.
But as one observer put it, “strange bedfellows don’t always make a lasting family.”
Missing Ingredients for Victory
Several political analysts say the coalition lacks two key elements: a trusted national figure who commands broad support, and a long-term, strategic playbook.
Datti Baba-Ahmed, 2023 vice-presidential candidate of the Labour Party, cautioned in a recent interview that without deep unity and clarity of purpose, “this coalition might fail before it even begins.”
He warned that personal ambition must be set aside.
“How many people are willing to suppress their own ambition for the good of Nigeria?” he asked. “That’s the real issue.”
Observers also say the coalition lacks a dominant figure like Buhari in 2015—someone with loyal voter bases and strong grassroots appeal.
“We don’t have a Buhari or a Tinubu in this coalition,” said a political commentator.
Unity or Just Another Merger of Interests?
The coalition says it wants to provide a credible alternative to APC rule. It promises to present a joint presidential ticket, a people’s manifesto, and a unified campaign structure.
But will party loyalists follow their leaders into the ADC? Can this alliance survive internal power struggles?
And who will step down for who?
As one voter asked in a recent townhall, “If this coalition is truly about Nigeria, let them show it by supporting a single candidate early.”
Until then, the ADC-led coalition walks a tightrope—balancing hope with uncertainty, with only 20 months to the next election.
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